AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

panam
Full of Fire
Posts: 2691
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:21 am

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by panam »

The Cure is a band that goes very well this time
Nassim
Full of Fire
Posts: 2793
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 2:35 pm
Location: Lille (France)

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nassim »

Harold wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 11:23 am
prosecutorgodot wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 6:21 am Besides The Idler Wheel..., I'm predicting Autobahn and S-K's The Woods as the outside entries.
I've also got Autobahn, but my other outlier is Hatful of Hollow. Unless a decision was made not to count it this time, and I missed it.
I think you are both wrong about Autobahn
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

Nassim wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 1:51 pm I think you are both wrong about Autobahn
Well, Holden's newest results post knocks off two of our "outliers" (The Idler Wheel... and Hatful of Hollow). Assuming that NFR! and Fetch the Bolt Cutters are yet to come, I'm sticking with Autobahn for that final album not on 2017's top 500. Nassim, are you thinking Diamond Life, or The Woods, or something else?
User avatar
Holden
Never Going Back Again
Posts: 3781
Joined: Wed Nov 20, 2019 11:06 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Holden »

This is awesome! I love these predictions.

Question: I've seen discussion on what albums you think are dropping out of the Top 100, but what albums do you think are entering the Top 100?
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

Another album that finished in the top 600 in 2017 but is nowhere to be found so far on this poll is We're Only in It for the Money by The Mothers of Invention. I have to say that, unless that album took an unexpectedly huge leap, I'm surprised that Zappa/The Mothers will only end up placing one album (Hot Rats) in the top 1000. I guess the members of this forum prefer Zappa when he keeps his big mouth shut. :mrgreen:
User avatar
Sweepstakes Ron
Full of Fire
Posts: 2723
Joined: Sat May 18, 2013 3:32 pm
Location: Here, There, and Everywhere

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Sweepstakes Ron »

Harold wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:55 pm
Nassim wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 1:51 pm I think you are both wrong about Autobahn
Well, Holden's newest results post knocks off two of our "outliers" (The Idler Wheel... and Hatful of Hollow). Assuming that NFR! and Fetch the Bolt Cutters are yet to come, I'm sticking with Autobahn for that final album not on 2017's top 500. Nassim, are you thinking Diamond Life, or The Woods, or something else?
I think it's absolutely 100% The Woods. I didn't even realize it placed as low as it did last time.
Splish splash, I was raking in the cash
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

Holden wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 4:03 pm This is awesome! I love these predictions.

Question: I've seen discussion on what albums you think are dropping out of the Top 100, but what albums do you think are entering the Top 100?
Probably some 2010s albums, as a result of our recent EOD polls.

These albums seem like probable candidates (2017 placement on the left)...

119. Janelle Monae- The ArchAndroid
122. Vampire Weekend- Modern Vampires of the City
132. PJ Harvey- Let England Shake
139. The National- High Violet
169. Daft Punk- Random Access Memories
190. Sufjan Stevens- Carrie & Lowell
206. LCD Soundsystem- This Is Happening
215. Beach House- Teen Dream
313. Frank Ocean- Blonde (this album really under-performed in our EOD poll though)
Nassim
Full of Fire
Posts: 2793
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 2:35 pm
Location: Lille (France)

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nassim »

Sweepstakes Ron wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 4:16 pm
Harold wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 3:55 pm
Nassim wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 1:51 pm I think you are both wrong about Autobahn
Well, Holden's newest results post knocks off two of our "outliers" (The Idler Wheel... and Hatful of Hollow). Assuming that NFR! and Fetch the Bolt Cutters are yet to come, I'm sticking with Autobahn for that final album not on 2017's top 500. Nassim, are you thinking Diamond Life, or The Woods, or something else?
I think it's absolutely 100% The Woods. I didn't even realize it placed as low as it did last time.
Yeah there’s no way The Woods didn’t make it to the top 1000. It’s in someone’s top 10 and in a bunch of top 100 including mine.
Nassim
Full of Fire
Posts: 2793
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 2:35 pm
Location: Lille (France)

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nassim »

If I had to bet on the album of 2017 top 100 that will rank the lowest, I’d pick Goodbye Yellow Brick Road.
As to which will get in... I’d bet on the Archandroid too
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

Nassim wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 4:40 pm
Sweepstakes Ron wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 4:16 pm I think it's absolutely 100% The Woods. I didn't even realize it placed as low as it did last time.
Yeah there’s no way The Woods didn’t make it to the top 1000. It’s in someone’s top 10 and in a bunch of top 100 including mine.
Hmm. You both may be right. I just assumed that Computerwelt rising as it did meant similar leaps for all of Kraftwerk's canon albums, but that doesn't seem to be the case with Autobahn. Seems drastic that it would fall completely out of the top 1000, though.
User avatar
prosecutorgodot
Keep On Movin'
Posts: 1547
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2015 5:53 am
Location: SF Bay Area, California

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by prosecutorgodot »

I think Murmur will make the top 100.

If The Woods is the lowest album left, it is doing very well in comparison to last time, and I am very happy about it.
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

prosecutorgodot wrote: Wed Oct 28, 2020 6:22 pm If The Woods is the lowest album left, it is doing very well in comparison to last time, and I am very happy about it.
And The Woods it is! Barring any truly unforeseen shocks, the remaining 220 albums should be the 220 remaining from the upper reaches of the 2017 poll (with Lou Reed's Berlin, at #385, being the lowest-ranked of those albums from last time that has not appeared yet).
User avatar
Listyguy
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3012
Joined: Sun Feb 05, 2012 8:34 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Listyguy »

It seems that Mezzanine has finally usurped Blue Lines as the forum's favorite Massive Attack album. I wholeheartedly approve of this.
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Which of the following albums will be in the top 200? Which will instead be out of the top 1000?

(Artist - Album/year/AM Top 3000 Rank/2017 Poll Rank)

This first group was in the top 200 in the 2017 Poll:

Kraftwerk - Trans-Europe Express / 1977 / 108 / 150
The Avalanches - Since I Left You / 2000 /346 / 151
Portishead - Third / 2008 / 235 / 152
Blur - Parklife /1994 / 137 / 154
Amy Winehouse Back to Black 2006 117 156
OutKast Stankonia 2000 125 158
PJ Harvey To Bring You My Love 1995 176 159
Weezer Weezer (Blue Album) 1994 284 161
Nick Drake Pink Moon 1972 280 165
Franz Ferdinand Franz Ferdinand 2004 225 167
The Smiths / The Smiths 1984 163 168
Daft Punk - Random Access Memories 2013 403 169
Creedence Clearwater Revival - Cosmo's Factory / 1970 / 191 / 173 (Could this album have dropped out of the top 1000 in the poll?)
Bruce Springsteen Nebraska 1982 131 175
Pixies Surfer Rosa 1988 100 177
Stooges Fun House 1970 98 179
Pulp Different Class 1995 119 180
Elliott Smith Either/Or 1997 251 183
Green Day - American Idiot 2004 470 186
Charles Mingus - The Black Saint and the Sinner Lady / 1963 / 397 /187 (Could this album have dropped out of the top 1000 in the poll?)
Nick Drake Five Leaves Left 1969 158 188
Vampire Weekend Vampire Weekend 2008 312 189
Sufjan Stevens Carrie & Lowell 2015 220 190
Beastie Boys Paul's Boutique 1989 103 191
Air Moon Safari 1998 130 192
John Lennon - Plastic Ono Band 1970 71 196
Lauryn Hill The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill 1998 124 197
The National Boxer 2007 330 200


This second group is highly rated among the AM Top 3000 and in the top 500 in the 2017 poll:

(Artist - Album/year/AM Top 3000 Rank/2017 Poll Rank)
The Clash The Clash 1977 65 217
Aretha Franklin - I Never Loved a Man the Way I Love You 1967 94 205
Aretha Franklin - Lady Soul 1968 148 249
Bob Marley - Exodus / 1977 / 204 / 218 (Could this album have dropped out of the top 1000 in the poll?)
Spiritualized Ladies and Gentlemen We Are Floating In Space 1997 219 241
Kraftwerk Die Mensch Machine 1978 237 221
Beach House/ Teen Dream 2010 287 215
Wire Pink Flag 1977 299 223
Mercury Rev Deserter's Songs 1998 310 201
LCD Soundsystem This Is Happening 2010 366 206
Last edited by Henry on Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:10 pm, edited 6 times in total.
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

Henry wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 2:36 am Which of the following albums will be in the top 200? Which will instead be out of the top 1000?

James Brown - 'Live at the Apollo 1963 44 328
Van Halen Van Halen 1978 244 335
These albums have already appeared, at #315 and #689, respectively. And where do you see The Black Parade at #361 on the 2017 poll? It didn't make the top 1000.

All the rest of the albums you note will be in the top 200.
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Harold wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:09 am
Henry wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 2:36 am Which of the following albums will be in the top 200? Which will instead be out of the top 1000?

James Brown - 'Live at the Apollo 1963 44 328
Van Halen Van Halen 1978 244 335
These albums have already appeared, at #315 and #689, respectively. And where do you see The Black Parade at #361 on the 2017 poll? It didn't make the top 1000.

All the rest of the albums you note will be in the top 200.
Thanks for the corrections.
User avatar
prosecutorgodot
Keep On Movin'
Posts: 1547
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2015 5:53 am
Location: SF Bay Area, California

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by prosecutorgodot »

None of our 2017 Top 100 are out yet, but that time is approaching. What will be the first one (or two or three) to drop out?

I'm going to say Odelay or Led Zep II.
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

Harold wrote: Wed Oct 28, 2020 7:20 pm with Lou Reed's Berlin, at #385, being the lowest-ranked of those albums from last time that has not appeared yet
Now, with 190 albums remaining, that title goes to Neil Young and Crazy Horse's Rust Never Sleeps (#283 in 2017).

Only two other albums that ranked below #250 last time are still waiting to be revealed, and they're both epic, mammoth achievements: 69 Love Songs by The Magnetic FIelds (#252 in 2017) and Godspeed You! Black Emperor's Lift Yr. Skinny Fists Like Antennas to Heaven (#263 last time).
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Which of the following will be in the top 150?
Which will be out of the top 1000?
(there are likely a few albums in the list that have already placed between 151-1000 that I have not tracked properly, please let me know of these.)
Artists - Album / year / AM rank / 2017 Poll Rank

Blur - Parklife / 1994 / 137 / 154
Amy Winehouse - Back to Black 2006 117 156
OutKast Stankonia 2000 125 158 (I predict top 150 for this album)
PJ Harvey To Bring You My Love 1995 176 (I predict top 150 for this album)
Weezer Weezer (Blue Album) 1994 284 161
Nick Drake Pink Moon 1972 280 165
Daft Punk - Random Access Memories 2013 403 169 - (I predict top 150 for this album)
Creedence Clearwater Revival - Cosmo's Factory 1970 191 173
Bruce Springsteen Nebraska 1982 131 175
Pixies - Surfer Rosa / 1988 / 100 / 177 - (I predict top 150 for this album)
Stooges Fun House 1970 98 179
Pulp Different Class 1995 119 180
Charles Mingus The Black Saint and the Sinner Lady 1963 397 187
Sufjan Stevens Carrie & Lowell 2015 220 190
Beastie Boys Paul's Boutique 1989 103 191
Lauryn Hill The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill 1998 124 197
Aretha Franklin - I Never Loved a Man the Way I Love You 1967 94 205
Bob Marley Exodus 1977 204 218
Aretha Franklin - Lady Soul 1968 148 249


I expect most of the following to stay in the top 150:
Kanye West The College Dropout 2004 218 101
King Crimson - The Court of the Crimson King 1969 139 102
Nas Illmatic 1994 187 105
Sonic Youth Daydream Nation 1988 62 106
Black Sabbath Paranoid 1970 147 107
DJ Shadow Endtroducing . . . 1996 76 108
Wu-Tang Clan Enter the Wu-Tang Clan 1993 104 112
Sex Pistols Never Mind the Bollocks - Here's the Sex Pistols 1977 12 113
Oasis - Definitely Maybe 1994 93 115
Bob Dylan - Freewheelin' Bob Dylan 1963 166 117
White Stripes White Blood Cells 2001 173 118
Janelle Monae - The ArchAndroid 2010 509 119
A Tribe Called Quest The Low End Theory 1991 207 120
David Bowie Station to Station 1976 304 121
Vampire Weekend Modern Vampires of the City 2013 227 122
Curtis Mayfield - Superfly 1972 184 125
Joy Division Unknown Pleasures 1979 67 128
Neil Young - Everybody Knows This is Nowhere 1969 232 129
Brian Eno Another Green World 1975 291 130
Daft Punk Discovery 2001 228 131
The Beatles - Help! 1965 592 133
Guns and Roses - Appetite for Destruction 1987 63 137
Belle and Sebastian - If You're Feeling Sinister 1996 195 138
The National High Violet 2010 427 139
Fleet Foxes Fleet Foxes 2008 261 140
Interpol Turn on the Bright Lights 2002 250 142
The Beatles - A Hard Day's Night 1964 206 143
Tom Waits Swordfishtrombones 1983 126 144
Flaming Lips Yoshimi Battles the Pink Robots 2002 254 145
Flaming Lips The Soft Bulletin 1999 111 146
Bjork Debut 1993 135 148
Depeche Mode Violator 1990 373 149

My guess is that the following will not place in the top 1000:

Sade - Diamond Life / 1984 / 1665 / 515
Frank Zappa We're Only In It For the Money 1968 269 556
Bon Jovi Slippery When Wet 1986 1045 559
Drake Nothing Was the Same 2013 2856 578
James Brown The Payback 1973 1328 579
2Pac All Eyes On Me 1996 990 585
The Pogues If I Should Fall From Grace with God 1988 791 586
Justin Timberlake The 20/20 Experience 2013 2903 596
Coldplay - X&Y 2005 BU 606
Grizzly Bear Shields 2012 849 612
Michael Jackson - History 1995 NR 628
Alice Coltrane Journey in Satchidananda 1971 NR 633
Eric Clapton - Unplugged 1992 1372 638
Joanna Newsom The Milk-Eyed Mender 2004 1436 654
Dire Straits Making Movies 1980 1517 662
Todd Rundgren - A Wizard, A True Star 1973 665 664
Last edited by Henry on Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

Henry wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 8:24 am
(there are likely a few albums in the list that have already placed between 151-1000 that I have not tracked properly, please let me know of these.)

Otis Redding Otis Blue 1965 68 116
Of all your albums listed, this is the only one I can find that has already appeared in the list.
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

These are the 2010s albums still left to appear (2017 position on the left)...

23. Kanye West- My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
59. Kendrick Lamar- To Pimp a Butterfly
61. Kendrick Lamar- good kid, M.A.A.D city
80. David Bowie- Blackstar
88. Arcade Fire- The Suburbs
119. Janelle Monae- The ArchAndroid
139. The National- High Violet
190. Sufjan Stevens- Carrie & Lowell
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Nick wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 4:16 pm These are the 2010s albums still left to appear (2017 position on the left)...

23. Kanye West- My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
59. Kendrick Lamar- To Pimp a Butterfly
61. Kendrick Lamar- good kid, M.A.A.D city
80. David Bowie- Blackstar
88. Arcade Fire- The Suburbs
119. Janelle Monae- The ArchAndroid
139. The National- High Violet
190. Sufjan Stevens- Carrie & Lowell
I think that all of these are fairly likely to be included in the top 150. But, I have a small doubt about Carrie & Lowell.
Chris K.
Let's Get It On
Posts: 234
Joined: Tue Feb 28, 2012 6:13 am

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Chris K. »

Henry wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 4:50 pm
Nick wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 4:16 pm These are the 2010s albums still left to appear (2017 position on the left)...

23. Kanye West- My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
59. Kendrick Lamar- To Pimp a Butterfly
61. Kendrick Lamar- good kid, M.A.A.D city
80. David Bowie- Blackstar
88. Arcade Fire- The Suburbs
119. Janelle Monae- The ArchAndroid
139. The National- High Violet
190. Sufjan Stevens- Carrie & Lowell
I think that all of these are fairly likely to be included in the top 150. But, I have a small doubt about Carrie & Lowell.
Carrie and Lowell did very well in our decade poll. I’m pretty sure it will be there. Very nice jump for it!
panam
Full of Fire
Posts: 2691
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:21 am

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by panam »

Blond appeared?
User avatar
Sweepstakes Ron
Full of Fire
Posts: 2723
Joined: Sat May 18, 2013 3:32 pm
Location: Here, There, and Everywhere

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Sweepstakes Ron »

panam wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 5:46 pmBlond appeared?
Yes, at #265.
Splish splash, I was raking in the cash
User avatar
Holden
Never Going Back Again
Posts: 3781
Joined: Wed Nov 20, 2019 11:06 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Holden »

Alright, can anyone here up with a full list of the remaining 100 albums? Any surprises?
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

I've got 98. Any help? Weezer's debut getting in is a big, but totally welcome, surprise.

1. Arcade Fire- Funeral
2. Arcade Fire- The Suburbs
3. Beck- Odelay
4. Björk- Homogenic
5. Björk- Post
6. Bob Dylan- Blonde on Blonde
7. Bob Dylan- Blood on the Tracks
8. Bob Dylan- Bringing It All Back Home
9. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited
10. Bob Dylan- The Freewheelin’ Bob Dylan
11. Bruce Springsteen- Born in the U.S.A.
12. Bruce Springsteen- Born to Run
13. Bruce Springsteen- Darkness on the Edge of Town
14. David Bowie- Blackstar
15. David Bowie- Hunky Dory
16. David Bowie- Low
17. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
18. Elvis Costello- This Year's Model
19. Fleetwood Mac- Rumours
20. Jeff Buckley- Grace
21. John Coltrane- A Love Supreme
22. Joni Mitchell- Blue
23. Joy Division- Closer
24. Joy Division- Unknown Pleasures
25. Kanye West- My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
26. Kate Bush- Hounds of Love
27. Kendrick Lamar- good kid, m.A.A.d city
28. Kendrick Lamar- To Pimp a Butterfly
29. King Crimson- In the Court of the Crimson King
30. LCD Soundsystem- Sound of Silver
31. Led Zeppelin- IV
32. Leonard Cohen- Songs of Leonard Cohen
33. Lou Reed- Transformer
34. Love- Forever Changes
35. Marvin Gaye- What's Going On
36. Michael Jackson- Thriller
37. Miles Davis- Kind of Blue
38. My Bloody Valentine- Loveless
39. Neil Young- After the Gold Rush
40. Neutral Milk Hotel- In the Aeroplane Over the Sea
41. Nirvana- In Utero
42. Nirvana- Nevermind
43. Oasis- (What's the Story) Morning Glory?
44. Patti Smith- Horses
45. Paul Simon- Graceland
46. Pearl Jam- Ten
47. Pink Floyd- The Dark Side of the Moon
48. Pink Floyd- Wish You Were Here
49. Pixies- Doolittle
50. Pixies- Surfer Rosa
51. Portishead- Dummy
52. Prince- Purple Rain
53. Prince- Sign 'O' the Times
54. Public Enemy- It Takes a Nation of Millions to Hold Us Back
55. R.E.M.- Automatic for the People
56. R.E.M.- Murmur
57. Radiohead- In Rainbows
58. Radiohead- Kid A
59. Radiohead- OK Computer
60. Radiohead- The Bends
61. Sigur Rós- Ágætis Byrjun
62. Simon and Garfunkel- Bridge Over Troubled Water
63. Sonic Youth- Daydream Nation
64. Stevie Wonder- Innervisions
65. Stevie Wonder- Songs in the Key of Life
66. Sufjan Stevens- Illinois
67. Talking Heads- Remain in Light
68. Television- Marquee Moon
69. The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds
70. The Beatles- Abbey Road
71. The Beatles- Magical Mystery Tour
72. The Beatles- Revolver
73. The Beatles- Rubber Soul
74. The Beatles- Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band
75. The Beatles- The Beatles (“The White Album”)
76. The Clash- London Calling
77. The Cure- Disintegration
78. The Doors- The Doors
79. The Jimi Hendrix Experience- Are You Experienced?
80. The Jimi Hendrix Experience- Electric Ladyland
81. The Rolling Stones- Beggars Banquet
82. The Rolling Stones- Exile on Main Street
83. The Rolling Stones- Let it Bleed
84. The Rolling Stones- Sticky Fingers
85. The Smiths- The Queen is Dead
86. The Stone Roses- The Stone Roses
87. The Strokes- Is This It
88. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground
89. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico
90. The White Stripes- Elephant
91. The Who- Who's Next
92. The Zombies- Odessey and Oracle
93. Tom Waits- Rain Dogs
94. U2- Achtung Baby
95. U2- The Joshua Tree
96. Van Morrison- Astral Weeks
97. Weezer- Weezer (“The Blue Album”)
98. Wilco- Yankee Hotel Foxtrot
User avatar
Bang Jan
Full of Fire
Posts: 2668
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2014 9:15 pm
Location: Cheltenham, United Kingdom

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Bang Jan »

Cosmo's Factory is definitely in the top 100 this time.
"The first word in this song is discorporate. It means to leave your body."
User avatar
Bang Jan
Full of Fire
Posts: 2668
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2014 9:15 pm
Location: Cheltenham, United Kingdom

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Bang Jan »

And If You're Feeling Sinister as well.
"The first word in this song is discorporate. It means to leave your body."
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

Bang Jan wrote: Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:11 am And If You're Feeling Sinister as well.
Thank you, Bang Jan!

Here's the top 100:

1. Arcade Fire- Funeral
2. Arcade Fire- The Suburbs
3. Beck- Odelay
4. Belle and Sebastian- If You’re Feeling Sinister
5. Björk- Homogenic
6. Björk- Post
7. Bob Dylan- Blonde on Blonde
8. Bob Dylan- Blood on the Tracks
9. Bob Dylan- Bringing It All Back Home
10. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited
11. Bob Dylan- The Freewheelin’ Bob Dylan
12. Bruce Springsteen- Born in the U.S.A.
13. Bruce Springsteen- Born to Run
14. Bruce Springsteen- Darkness on the Edge of Town
15. Creedence Clearwater Revival- Cosmos’ Factory
16. David Bowie- Blackstar
17. David Bowie- Hunky Dory
18. David Bowie- Low
19. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
20. Elvis Costello- This Year's Model
21. Fleetwood Mac- Rumours
22. Jeff Buckley- Grace
23. John Coltrane- A Love Supreme
24. Joni Mitchell- Blue
25. Joy Division- Closer
26. Joy Division- Unknown Pleasures
27. Kanye West- My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
28. Kate Bush- Hounds of Love
29. Kendrick Lamar- good kid, m.A.A.d city
30. Kendrick Lamar- To Pimp a Butterfly
31. King Crimson- In the Court of the Crimson King
32. LCD Soundsystem- Sound of Silver
33. Led Zeppelin- IV
34. Leonard Cohen- Songs of Leonard Cohen
35. Lou Reed- Transformer
36. Love- Forever Changes
37. Marvin Gaye- What's Going On
38. Michael Jackson- Thriller
39. Miles Davis- Kind of Blue
40. My Bloody Valentine- Loveless
41. Neil Young- After the Gold Rush
42. Neutral Milk Hotel- In the Aeroplane Over the Sea
43. Nirvana- In Utero
44. Nirvana- Nevermind
45. Oasis- (What's the Story) Morning Glory?
46. Patti Smith- Horses
47. Paul Simon- Graceland
48. Pearl Jam- Ten
49. Pink Floyd- The Dark Side of the Moon
50. Pink Floyd- Wish You Were Here
51. Pixies- Doolittle
52. Pixies- Surfer Rosa
53. Portishead- Dummy
54. Prince- Purple Rain
55. Prince- Sign 'O' the Times
56. Public Enemy- It Takes a Nation of Millions to Hold Us Back
57. R.E.M.- Automatic for the People
58. R.E.M.- Murmur
59. Radiohead- In Rainbows
60. Radiohead- Kid A
61. Radiohead- OK Computer
62. Radiohead- The Bends
63. Sigur Rós- Ágætis Byrjun
64. Simon and Garfunkel- Bridge Over Troubled Water
65. Sonic Youth- Daydream Nation
66. Stevie Wonder- Innervisions
67. Stevie Wonder- Songs in the Key of Life
68. Sufjan Stevens- Illinois
69. Talking Heads- Remain in Light
70. Television- Marquee Moon
71. The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds
72. The Beatles- Abbey Road
73. The Beatles- Magical Mystery Tour
74. The Beatles- Revolver
75. The Beatles- Rubber Soul
76. The Beatles- Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band
77. The Beatles- The Beatles (“The White Album”)
78. The Clash- London Calling
79. The Cure- Disintegration
80. The Doors- The Doors
81. The Jimi Hendrix Experience- Are You Experienced?
82. The Jimi Hendrix Experience- Electric Ladyland
83. The Rolling Stones- Beggars Banquet
84. The Rolling Stones- Exile on Main Street
85. The Rolling Stones- Let it Bleed
86. The Rolling Stones- Sticky Fingers
87. The Smiths- The Queen is Dead
88. The Stone Roses- The Stone Roses
89. The Strokes- Is This It
90. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground
91. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico
92. The White Stripes- Elephant
93. The Who- Who's Next
94. The Zombies- Odessey and Oracle
95. Tom Waits- Rain Dogs
96. U2- Achtung Baby
97. U2- The Joshua Tree
98. Van Morrison- Astral Weeks
99. Weezer- Weezer (“The Blue Album”)
100. Wilco- Yankee Hotel Foxtrot

New entries include:

1. Belle and Sebastian- If You’re Feeling Sinister
2. Bob Dylan- The Freewheelin’ Bob Dylan
3. Creedence Clearwater Revival- Cosmos’ Factory
4. Joy Division- Unknown Pleasures
5. King Crimson- In the Court of the Crimson King
6. Pixies- Surfer Rosa
7. R.E.M.- Murmur
8. Sonic Youth- Daydream Nation
9. Weezer- Weezer (“The Blue Album”)
Bruno
Shake Some Action
Posts: 1384
Joined: Sun Feb 19, 2012 1:33 pm
Location: São Paulo, Brasil
Contact:

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Bruno »

5 artists = 23 albums.
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

Albums per decade:

50s: 1
60s: 24
70s: 26
80s: 18
90s: 18
00s: 8
10s: 5
User avatar
Holden
Never Going Back Again
Posts: 3781
Joined: Wed Nov 20, 2019 11:06 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Holden »

Okay, so if you think you have all 100 figured out, any guesses for positioning?
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
User avatar
prosecutorgodot
Keep On Movin'
Posts: 1547
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2015 5:53 am
Location: SF Bay Area, California

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by prosecutorgodot »

I hope that The Bends would leave the top 50, but looking at the trends I don't think that's going to happen.

My guess at 51-100:

51 | Beggars Banquet
52 | Grace
53 | Blood on the Tracks
54 | After the Gold Rush
55 | Kind of Blue
56 | Loveless
57 | Blue
58 | Rain Dogs
59 | Bringing It All Back Home
60 | good kid, m.A.A.d. city
61 | (What's the Story) Morning Glory?
62 | ★ [Blackstar]
63 | Disintegration
64 | In Utero
65 | Homogenic
66 | The Stone Roses
67 | The Suburbs
68 | Ten
69 | In the Aeroplane Over the Sea
70 | Electric Ladyland
71 | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot
72 | Elephant
73 | Hounds of Love
74 | Post
75 | It Takes a Nation of Millions to Hold Us Back
76 | Marquee Moon
77 | The Velvet Underground
78 | This Year's Model
79 | Sign 'O' the Times
80 | Closer
81 | Daydream Nation
82 | Graceland
83 | Horses
84 | Murmur
85 | A Love Supreme
86 | Magical Mystery Tour
87 | Achtung Baby
88 | Transformer
89 | Darkness on the Edge of Town
90 | Born in the U.S.A.
91 | Songs of Leonard Cohen
92 | Unknown Pleasures
93 | In the Court of the Crimson King
94 | Odelay
95 | Agætis byrjun
96 | Cosmo's Factory
97 | Surfer Rosa
98 | If You're Feeling Sinister
99 | Weezer ["The Blue Album"]
100 | The Freewheelin' Bob Dylan
Last edited by prosecutorgodot on Sat Oct 31, 2020 8:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Are any of the following going to place in the top 100?

Artists - Album / year / AM rank / 2017 Poll Rank
King Crimson - The Court of the Crimson King / 1969 / 139 / 102
Sonic Youth - Daydream Nation 1988 62 106
Bob Dylan - Freewheelin' Bob Dylan 1963 166 117
Joy Division - Unknown Pleasures 1979 67 128
Belle and Sebastian - If You're Feeling Sinister 1996 195 138 (is this the second most vulnerable album on the list to fall out of the top 1000? I still think it places in the top 100)
Weezer - Weezer (Blue Album) 1994 284 161
Creedence Clearwater Revival - Cosmo's Factory 1970 191 173 (is this the most vulnerable album on the list to fall out of the top 1000? I still think it places in the top 100)
Pixies - Surfer Rosa 1988 100 177
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Guess at 51-100:

51. Miles Davis - Kind of Blue
52. My Bloody Valentine - Loveless
53. Bob Dylan - Blood on the Tracks
54. Bob Dylan - Bringing it all back home
55.Pearl Jam - Ten
56.Neil Young - After the Gold Rush
57. Oasis - What's the Story Morning Glory?
58. LCD Soundsystem - Sound of Silver
59. Kendrick Lamar - To Pimp a Butterfly
60. Wilco - Yankee Hotel Foxtrot
61. Kendrick Lamar - good kid, m.A.A.d. city
62. Nirvana - In Utero
63. Joni Mitchell - Blue
64. Tom Waits - Rain Dogs
65. Jimi Hendrix - Electric Ladyland
66. Stone Roses - Stone Roses
67. White Stripes - Elephant
68. Bjork / Post
69. Public Enemy - It Takes a Nation of Millions to Hold Us Back
70. Bjork - Homogenic
Prince - Sign 'o' the Times
Joy Division - Closer
Television - Marquee Moon
Neutral Milk Honey - In the Aeroplane Over the Sea
75. The Velvet Underground - The Velvet Underground
Elvis Costello - This Year's Model
Paul Simon - Graceland
David Bowie - Blackstar
Patti Smith - Horses
80. U2 - Achtung Baby
John Coltrane - A Love Supreme
The Beatles - Magical Mystery Tour
Arcade Fire - The Suburbs
Bruce Springsteen - Born in the U.S.A.
85. Bruce Springsteen - Darkness on the Edge of Town
Leonard Cohen - Songs of Leonard Cohen
The Cure - Disintegration
Beck - Odelay
Kate Bush - Hounds of Love
90. Lou Reed - Transformer
King Crimson - The Court of the Crimson King
Sonic Youth - Daydream Nation
Bob Dylan - Freewheelin' Bob Dylan
Joy Division - Unknown Pleasures
95. Belle and Sebastian - If You're Feeling Sinister
Weezer - Weezer (Blue Album)
Creedence Clearwater Revival - Cosmo's Factory
98. Pixies - Surfer Rosa
99. Kraftwerk - Autobahn
100. Solange - A Seat at the Table (not likely, but I didn't find a more likely candidate)

Other possibilities for 100 could be:

The Who - Live at Leeds
Frank Zappa We're Only In It For the Money
alt-J - An Awesome Wave
Drake - Nothing Was the Same

or most likely an album or a few albums that will surprise me.
Harold
Into the Groove
Posts: 2331
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:56 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Harold »

Henry wrote: Sat Oct 31, 2020 4:19 am Are any of the following going to place in the top 100?
Yes, all of them. The top 100 albums are going to be the 100 albums listed in Nick's post above. The lowest-ranked album from 2017 on that list was Surfer Rosa, at #177, and there is absolutely no way an album that ranked at #177 or higher last time around is going to fall all the way out of the top 1000.

I mean, theoretically, anything is possible. But I'd say this is a 99.9999999999% certainty. The only suspense left is the rankings.
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Predicted Top 80:

1. The Beatles - Abbey Road
2. Radiohead - OK Computer
3. The Velvet Underground - Velvet Underground & Nico
4. David Bowie - The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders From Mars
5. The Beatles - Revolver
6. The Beach Boys - Pet Sounds
7. The Beatles - Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band
8. Pink Floyd - Dark Side of the Moon
9. The Beatles - White Album
10. Nirvana - Nevermind
11. Bob Dylan - Highway 61 Revisited
12. Radiohead Kid A
13. The Clash London Calling
14. Bruce Springsteen - Born to Run
15. Led Zeppelin - Led Zeppelin IV
16. Stevie Wonder - Innervisions
17. Michael Jackson - Thriller
18. Prince - Purple Rain
19. The Smiths - The Queen Is Dead
20. Pixies - Doolittle
21. Arcade Fire - Funeral
22.The Beatles - Rubber Soul
23. Kanye West - My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
24. Sufjan Stevens - Illinoise
25. Bob Dylan - Blonde on Blonde
26. The Rolling Stones - Let It Bleed
27. The Who - Who's Next
28. Jimi Hendrix - Are you Experienced
29. Marvin Gaye - What's Going On
30. Stevie Wonder - Songs in the Key of Life
31.Portishead - Dummy
32. Radiohead - The Bends
33. Radiohead - In Rainbows
34. R.E.M. - Automatic for the People
35. U2 - Joshua Tree
36. Fleetwood Mac - Rumours
37. David Bowie - Hunky Dory
38. Talking Heads - Remain in Light
39. The Strokes - Is This It
40. Love - Forever Changes
41. The Rolling Stones - Exile on Main Street
42. The Doors - Doors
43. The Rolling Stones - Sticky Fingers
44. Van Morrison - Astral Weeks
45. The Rolling Stones - Beggars Banquet
46. Simon and Garfunkel - Bridge Over Troubled Water
47. Jeff Buckley - Grace
48. David Bowie - Low
49. Pink Floyd - Wish you were here
50. Bob Dylan - Blood on the Tracks
51. The Zombies - Odessey and Oracle
52. Miles Davis - Kind of Blue
53. My Bloody Valentine - Loveless
54. Bob Dylan - Bringing it all back home
55. Pearl Jam - Ten
56. Neil Young - After the Gold Rush
57. Oasis - What's the Story Morning Glory?
58. LCD Soundsystem - Sound of Silver
59. Kendrick Lamar - To Pimp a Butterfly
60. Wilco - Yankee Hotel Foxtrot
61. Kendrick Lamar - good kid, m.A.A.d. city
62. Joni Mitchell - Blue
63. Tom Waits - Rain Dogs
64. The Stone Roses - Stone Roses
65. White Stripes - Elephant
66. Bjork / Post
67. Public Enemy - It Takes a Nation of Millions to Hold Us Back
68. Bjork - Homogenic
69. Prince - Sign 'o' the Times
70. Television - Marquee Moon
71. The Velvet Underground - The Velvet Underground
72. David Bowie - Blackstar
73. Patti Smith - Horses
74. John Coltrane - A Love Supreme
75. Neutral Milk Honey - In the Aeroplane Over the Sea
76. Bruce Springsteen - Born in the U.S.A.
77. Leonard Cohen - Songs of Leonard Cohen
78. The Cure - Disintegration
79. Kate Bush - Hounds of Love
80. R.E.M. - Murmur
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

Out top 50 albums of all time:

1. Arcade Fire- Funeral
2. Bob Dylan- Blonde on Blonde
3. Bob Dylan- Blood on the Tracks
4. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited
5. Bruce Springsteen- Born to Run
6. David Bowie- Hunky Dory
7. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
8. Fleetwood Mac- Rumours
9. Kanye West- My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
10. Kendrick Lamar- To Pimp a Butterfly
11. LCD Soundsystem- Sound of Silver
12. Led Zeppelin- IV
13. Love- Forever Changes
14. Marvin Gaye- What's Going On
15. Michael Jackson- Thriller
16. Miles Davis- Kind of Blue
17. My Bloody Valentine- Loveless
18. Nirvana- Nevermind
19. Pink Floyd- The Dark Side of the Moon
20. Pixies- Doolittle
21. Portishead- Dummy
22. Prince- Purple Rain
23. R.E.M.- Automatic for the People
24. Radiohead- In Rainbows
25. Radiohead- Kid A
26. Radiohead- OK Computer
27. Radiohead- The Bends
28. Simon and Garfunkel- Bridge Over Troubled Water
29. Stevie Wonder- Innervisions
30. Stevie Wonder- Songs in the Key of Life
31. Sufjan Stevens- Illinois
32. Talking Heads- Remain in Light
33. Television- Marquee Moon
34. The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds
35. The Beatles- Abbey Road
36. The Beatles- Revolver
37. The Beatles- Rubber Soul
38. The Beatles- Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band
39. The Beatles- The Beatles (“The White Album”)
40. The Clash- London Calling
41. The Jimi Hendrix Experience- Are You Experienced?
42. The Rolling Stones- Exile on Main Street
43. The Rolling Stones- Let it Bleed
44. The Rolling Stones- Sticky Fingers
45. The Smiths- The Queen is Dead
46. The Stone Roses- The Stone Roses
47. The Strokes- Is This It
48. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico
49. The Who- Who's Next
50. U2- The Joshua Tree
User avatar
Holden
Never Going Back Again
Posts: 3781
Joined: Wed Nov 20, 2019 11:06 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Holden »

Alright, Nick has a list of 50, so anyone wanna make any rankings?
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Predicted Top 50:

1. The Beatles - Abbey Road (This is more a hope than a prediction - my prediction is that Abbey Road will fall to place at either 4 or 5)
2. Radiohead - OK Computer (Probably the winner again, as it was in 2017)
3. The Velvet Underground - Velvet Underground & Nico (I'm hoping for a lower placement, but I've seen how this album is revered and loved in the forum for many years and don't expect that love to be diminishing - could easily place as the top album)
4. David Bowie - The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders From Mars
5. The Beatles - Revolver
6. The Beach Boys - Pet Sounds
7. The Beatles - Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band
8. Pink Floyd - Dark Side of the Moon
9. The Beatles - White Album
10. Nirvana - Nevermind ( I continue to think that this album is overrated, the forum will likely continue to place it lower than its AM Rank)
11. Bob Dylan - Highway 61 Revisited
12. Radiohead Kid A
13. The Clash London Calling
14. Bruce Springsteen - Born to Run
15. Led Zeppelin - Led Zeppelin IV
16. Stevie Wonder - Innervisions (More likely this album places lower, near 30 - but, I hope it places this well)
17. Michael Jackson - Thriller
18. Prince - Purple Rain (This album is a forum favorite has clinched a spot in the top 30 already - substantially higher than its AM Rank of 49)
19. The Smiths - The Queen Is Dead
20. Pixies - Doolittle
21. Arcade Fire - Funeral (given the preference in the forum for recent albums, this could easily place higher)
22.The Beatles - Rubber Soul
23. Kanye West - My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy (I'm not disappointed to see this drop out of the top 30)
24. Sufjan Stevens - Illinoise (could be higher based on the recency bias of the forum)
25. Bob Dylan - Blonde on Blonde
26. The Rolling Stones - Let It Bleed
27. The Who - Who's Next (very disappointed to see this fall out of the top 30, and place even below its AM Ranking)
28. Jimi Hendrix - Are you Experienced
29. Marvin Gaye - What's Going On
30. Stevie Wonder - Songs in the Key of Life
31.Portishead - Dummy
32. Radiohead - The Bends
33. Radiohead - In Rainbows
34. R.E.M. - Automatic for the People
35. U2 - Joshua Tree
36. Fleetwood Mac - Rumours
37. David Bowie - Hunky Dory
38. Talking Heads - Remain in Light
39. The Strokes - Is This It
40. Love - Forever Changes
41. The Rolling Stones - Exile on Main Street
42. The Rolling Stones - Sticky Fingers (surprised me by moving into the top 30)
43. Simon and Garfunkel - Bridge Over Troubled Water
44. Bob Dylan - Blood on the Tracks (pleasantly surprised to see this move into the top 30)
45. Miles Davis - Kind of Blue
46. My Bloody Valentine - Loveless
47. LCD Soundsystem - Sound of Silver
48. Kendrick Lamar - To Pimp a Butterfly
49. The Stone Roses - Stone Roses
50. Television - Marquee Moon
Last edited by Henry on Sun Nov 01, 2020 7:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
prosecutorgodot
Keep On Movin'
Posts: 1547
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2015 5:53 am
Location: SF Bay Area, California

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by prosecutorgodot »

Hi Henry, I took your predictions (and mine) for 51-100 and did a simple sum-of-squared-errors formula, lower is better:

Me: 8,469
Henry: 9,027

The results are pretty close, given the high numbers overall.

Here are my guesses for 11-50:

11 | Nevermind
12 | London Calling
13 | Kid A
14 | Highway 61 Revisited
15 | Doolittle
16 | The Queen is Dead
17 | Born to Run
18 | Purple Rain
19 | Led Zeppelin IV
20 | My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy
21 | Illinois
22 | Innervisions
23 | Rubber Soul
24 | Thriller
25 | Blonde on Blonde
26 | Automatic for the People
27 | Who's Next
28 | Are You Experienced?
29 | Let it Bleed
30 | In Rainbows
31 | What's Going On
32 | The Bends
33 | Songs in the Key of Life
34 | Rumours
35 | Dummy
36 | Exile on Main St.
37 | The Joshua Tree
38 | Hunky Dory
39 | Remain in Light
40 | Is This It
41 | Sticky Fingers
42 | Forever Changes
43 | Bridge Over Troubled Water
44 | To Pimp a Butterfly
45 | Sound of Silver
46 | Blood on the Tracks
47 | Kind of Blue
48 | Loveless
49 | The Stone Roses
50 | Marquee Moon
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

prosecutorgodot wrote: Sun Nov 01, 2020 6:28 am Hi Henry, I took your predictions (and mine) for 51-100 and did a simple sum-of-squared-errors formula, lower is better:

Me: 8,469
Henry: 9,027

The results are pretty close, given the high numbers overall.
Thanks for the analysis. Glad to see that I'm not too far behind.
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Great top 30 albums coming up.

Every one of them is among my faves.

The lowest rated for me are:

The Clash - London Calling (702)
Talking Heads - Remain In Light (773) (nice move up in the poll compared to 2017)
Radiohead - Kid A (824) (3 Radiohead albums still in the top 30 - very impressive)
Rolling Stones - Let It Bleed (833)
Radiohead - The Bends (945) (moving up in the poll compared to 2017)
The Velvet Underground - Velvet Underground & Nico (961) - perhaps this album could be the top choice for the forum again in this poll, but not for me :-)
Pixies - Doolittle (1323)

The most recent album in the top 30 seems to be Illinoise. It is outperforming it AM rank in the poll by a substantial margin. The difference between its AM rank and it poll rank is expected to be the largest again this year, as I believe it was in the 2017 poll.

Kid A will also outperform its AM Rank in this year's poll.

My guess is that Funeral will also outperform its AM Rank this year.
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

And now, our top 10:

1. Arcade Fire- Funeral
2. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited
3. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
4. Nirvana- Nevermind
5. Radiohead- OK Computer
6. The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds
7. The Beatles- Abbey Road
8. The Beatles- Revolver
9. The Clash- London Calling
10. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico
Nick
Running Up That Hill
Posts: 3115
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:28 pm
Location: New York State

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Nick »

A prediction:

1. Radiohead- OK Computer
2. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico
3. The Beatles- Abbey Road
4. The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds
5. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
6. The Clash- London Calling
7. The Beatles- Revolver
8. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited
9. Nirvana- Nevermind
10. Arcade Fire- Funeral
Henry
Into the Groove
Posts: 2349
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2012 9:39 pm

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Henry »

Prediction:

1. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico (I never underestimate the appeal of this album among forum poll voters)
2. Radiohead- OK Computer (some of the Radiohead albums have disappointed in this poll, others have done well)
3. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars (Bowie seems to be performing well in this poll)
4. The Beatles- Abbey Road (Beatles have not been doing well so far in this poll)
5.The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds (possible for this album to place higher, but I doubt it)
6. The Clash- London Calling
7. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited (hard to see this album breaking into the top 4)
8. The Beatles- Revolver (tempted to place this at 9 or 10 in view of the Beatles poor performance in the 10-20 range)
9. Arcade Fire- Funeral (the only album from the millennium in the top ten, but it seems to be losing steam - could be down at 10)
10. Nirvana- Nevermind (could be as high as 4)

Note that no albums from the 1980's or 2010's placed in the top ten.
Chris K.
Let's Get It On
Posts: 234
Joined: Tue Feb 28, 2012 6:13 am

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Chris K. »

Just for fun, I tried to make a judgement based on trajectories, but it turns out it's extremely difficult. My guess:

1. Radiohead- OK Computer
2. The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico
3. The Beatles- Abbey Road
4. The Clash- London Calling
5. David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
6. The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds
7. The Beatles- Revolver
8. Arcade Fire- Funeral
9. Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited
10. Nirvana- Nevermind

I could easily see there being another number one, but Radiohead has been doing notably better than in 2014 and -- their really strong showing in 2017 aside -- pretty on par with past polls, so I'll go with where the data is pointing. The Beatles look unlikely to take #1 based on how they're doing so far (unless AM is just coalescing around Abbey Road). VU and Nico seems the most likely candidate to pull off #1 it's not OKC. But who knows? As you can see below, it's very hard to extrapolate based on the rest of an artist's catalog. I thought I'd try for fun to see how close I could get.

Past placements (07, 09 11, 14, 17, 20 polls)

Arcade Fire- Funeral, 20, 16, 9, 6, 15, ?
Bob Dylan- Highway 61 Revisited, 3, 6, 6, 12, 12, ?
David Bowie- The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars, 11, 8, 7, 5, 4, ?
Nirvana- Nevermind, 15, 17, 19, 19, 10, ?
Radiohead- OK Computer, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, ?
The Beach Boys- Pet Sounds, 6, 2, 3, 3, 6, ?
The Beatles- Abbey Road, 8, 10, 5, 9, 2, ?
The Beatles- Revolver, 2, 4, 4, 7, 5, ?
The Clash- London Calling, 7, 3, 8, 4, 11, ?
The Velvet Underground- The Velvet Underground & Nico, 5, 5, 2, 1, 3, ?

Kid A, 14, 24, 28, 26, 13, 20
In Rainbows, 146, 65, 45, 73, 33, 32
The Bends, 43, 44, 36, 44, 32, 30
Hail To the Thief, 253, 376, 324, 230, 160, 327
Amnesiac, 201, 248, 224, 276, 162, 242
A Moon Shaped Pool, N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, 176, 297
Hunky Dory, 52, 66, 41, 60, 37, 34
Low, 60, 39, 54, 61, 48, 60
Station to Station, 187, 139, 241, 138, 121, 122
Blackstar, N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, 80, 79
In Utero, 104, 116, 101, 100, 60, 87
Unplugged In NY, 96, 247, 323, 242, 124, 173
Blonde on Blonde, 10, 9, 12, 10, 24, 18
Blood on the Tracks, 25, 6, 20, 24, 53, 21
Bringing It All Back Home, 30, 41, 37, 43, 54, 58
Rubber Soul, 23, 22, 17, 36, 22, 25
White Album, 4, 7, 10, 11, 9, 11
Sgt Peppers, 9, 11, 11, 8, 7, 17
Surf's Up, 121, 192, 299, 381, 418, 364
The Velvet Underground, 113, 114, 89, 70, 76, 65
Loaded, 136, 124, 138, 145, 287, 232
White Light White Heat, 149, 113, 140, 176, 277, 214
The Clash, 106, 91, 161, 142, 217, 156
Neon Bible, 579, 187, 121, 165, 170, 182
The Suburbs, N/A, N/A, 97, 124, 88, 100
Reflektor, N/A, N/A, N/A, 281, 231, 463
User avatar
prosecutorgodot
Keep On Movin'
Posts: 1547
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2015 5:53 am
Location: SF Bay Area, California

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by prosecutorgodot »

Wow, I barely edged ahead. For 11-50:
Me: 2,675
Henry: 2,727

I'm going to include Nick and Chris K. in the final round, if y'all don't mind.

Here's my ballot.

1 | OK Computer
2 | Abbey Road
3 | The Velvet Underground & Nico
4 | Revolver
5 | Pet Sounds
6 | The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
7 | London Calling
8 | Nevermind
9 | Funeral
10 | Highway 61 Revisited

This is really tough to predict, I voted for all of these albums. I think I'm going to do badly in this final round.
User avatar
Schüttelbirne
Into the Groove
Posts: 2379
Joined: Tue Oct 29, 2019 9:50 am

Re: AMF Top 1000 Albums of All Time, 2020, PREDICTION THREAD (SPOILERS)

Post by Schüttelbirne »

My prediction:

1. OK Computer
2. The Velvet Underground & Nico
3. Revolver
4. Pet Sounds
5. Abbey Road
6. The Rise and Fall of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars
7. London Calling
8. Funeral
9. Nevermind
10. Highway 61 Revisited
Post Reply

Return to “Music, Music, Music...”