Award Season 2023

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billieeilishstyle
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Award Season 2023

Post by billieeilishstyle »

Here are my final Oscar predictions

Best Picture

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TAR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
The Whale

Best Director

Todd Field for TAR
Martin McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan + Daniel Scheinert for Everything Everywhere All At Once
Ruben Ostlund for Triangle of Sadness
Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans

Best Actor

Austin Butler for Elvis
Colin Farrell for The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser for The Whale
Paul Mescal for Aftersun
Bill Nighy for Living

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett for TAR
Ana DeArmas for Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler for Till
Michelle Williams for The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Supporting Actor

Paul Dano for The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson for The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch for The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan for The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan for Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon for The Banshees of Inisherin
Hong Chau for The Whale
Jamie Lee Curtis for Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon for Triangle of Sadness

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TAR
Triangle of Sadness

Best Adapted Screenplay

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
The Whale
Women Talking

Best Animated Feature

The Bad Guys
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red

Best Documentary Feature

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
All That Breathes
Bad Axe
Nalvany
Retrograde

Best International Feature

All Quiet on the Western Front
Close
Decision to Leave
EO
Saint Omer

Best Cinematography

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick

Best Film Editing

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick

Best Costume Design

Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Corsage
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Best Production Design

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
The Fabelmans

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Blonde
Elvis
The Whale

Best Sound

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick

Best Original Score

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
The Fabelmans
Women Talking

Best Original Song

“Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
“Ciao Papa” from Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
“Naautu Naautu” from RRR
“Applause” from Tell It Like a Woman
“Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick

Best Visual Effects

All is Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Top Gun: Maverick
billieeilishstyle
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by billieeilishstyle »

I will be posting my final Oscar predictions sometime around next weekend, but I'll note that Everything Everywhere All At Once has become a undeniable threat for the win, sweeping the guilds, with only a WGA win under it's belt to complete the full sweep of SAG + PGA + DGA + WGA, joining the four films below

Argo
Slumdog Millionaire
No Country for Old Men
American Beauty

as sweepers to win all four major guilds
billieeilishstyle
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by billieeilishstyle »

My final Oscar predictions

Picture: Everything Everywhere All At Once (unlikely alt: All is Quiet on the Western Front)
Director: Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert for Everything Everywhere All At Once (unlikely alt: Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans)
Actor: Austin Butler for Elvis (alt: Brendan Fraser for The Whale)
Actress: Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere All At Once (alt: Cate Blanchett for TAR)
Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan for Everything Everywhere All At Once (unlikely alt: Barry Keoghan for The Banshees of Inisherin)
Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon for The Banshees of Inisherin (alt: Jamie Lee Curtis for Everything Everywhere All At Once)
Original Screenplay: Everything Everywhere All At Once (alt: The Banshees of Inisherin)
Adapted Screenplay: All is Quiet on the Western Front (alt: Women Talking)
Animated Feature: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinnochio (unlikely alt: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish)
International Feature: All is Quiet on the Western Front (unlikely alt: Argentina, 1985)
Documentary Feature: Nalvany (alt: Fire of Love)
Documentary Short Subject: ‘The Elephant Whispers’ (alt: ‘How Do You Measure a Year?’)
Live Action Short Subject: ‘Le Pupille’ (alt: ‘An Irish Goodbye’)
Animated Short: ‘The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse’ (alt: ‘Ice Merchants’)
Original Score: The Fabelmans (alt: All is Quiet on the Western Front)
Original Song: “Naatu Naatu” from RRR (alt: “This is a Life” from Everything Everywhere All At Once)
Sound: Top Gun: Maverick (alt: All is Quiet on the Western Front)
Cinematography: All is Quiet on the Western Front (alt: Elvis)
Production Design: Elvis (alt: Babylon)
Makeup & Hairstyling: The Whale (alt: Elvis)
Costume Design: Elvis (alt: Babylon)
Editing: Everything Everywhere All At Once (alt: Top Gun: Maverick)
Visual Effects: Avatar: The Way of Water (unlikely alt: All is Quiet on the Western Front)
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Rob
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by Rob »

I'll join with my predictions as well as my choices. I actually managed to see almost all of it, outside the shorts. I only miss a very short handful of films here and there, mostly in 'minor' categories.

Beste Picture:
Will win: Everything Everywhere All At Once
My choice: Tár

Best Director:
Will win: Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert for Everything Everywhere All At Once
My choice: Todd Field for Tár (I always pick the same here as Best Picture, if possible)

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Will win: Brendan Fraser for The Whale
My choice: Austin Butler for Elvis

Best Actress in a Leading Actress:
Will win: Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere All At Once
My choice: Cate Blanchett for Tár

Best Supporting Actor:
Will win: Ke Huy Quan for Everything Everywhere All At Once
My choice: Brendan Gleeson for The Banshees of Inisherin (but let's pour one out for Brian Tyree Henry)

Best Supporting Actress:
Will win: Angela Bassett for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon for the Banshees of Inisherin

Best Original Screenplay:
Will win: Martin McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin
My choice: Martin McDonagh for The Bansees of Inisherin

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will win: Sarah Polley for Women Talking
My choice: Sarah Polley for Women Talking

Best Cinematography:
Will win: Mandy Walker for Elvis
My choice: Darius Khondji for Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Not seen by me: Empire of Light

Best editing:
Will win: Paul Rogers for Everything Everywhere All At Once
My choice: Paul Rogers for Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Production Design:
Will win: Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy and Bev Dunn for Elvis
My choice: Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino for Babylon

Best Visual Effects:
Will win: Avatar: The Way of Water
My choice: Avatar: The Way of Water

Best Sound:
Will win: Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor for Top Gun: Maverick
My choice: Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor for Top Gun: Maverick

Best Music (Original Score):
Will win: Justin Hurwitz for Babylon
My choice: Justin Hurwitz for Babylon
Note: If there is one category where I can imagine any winning it is this one.

Best Music (Original Song):
Will win: Lift Me Up from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
My choice: Naatu Naatu from RRR

Best Costume Design:
Will win: Catherine Martin for Elvis
My choice: Shirley Kurata for Everything Everywhere All At Once
Not seen by me: Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Beste Make-Up and Hairstyling
Will win: Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Annemarie Bradley for The Whale
My choice: Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine for The Batman

Best International Feature:
Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front
My choice: EO (although I love The Quiet Girl almost equally)
Note: I dislike All Quiet on the Western Front quite a bit.

Best Animated Feature:
Will win: Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
My choice: Marcel the Shell with the Shoes On

Best Animated Short:
Will win: The Boy, The Mole, The Fox and the Horse
None seen by me

Best Live-action short:
Will win: Le Pupille
None seen by me

Best Documentary:
Will win: Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris for Navalny
My choice: Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov for All That Breathes (my favorite nominated film in any category this year; in an unusually strong documentary field too)
Not seen by me: A House Made of Splinters (might change that tonight)

Best Documentary Short:
Will win: The Elephant Whisperers
None seen by me
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Holden
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by Holden »

I'll hop in! I don't think I've seen as many as everyone else, but I've seen a bunch.

Predictions:
Best Picture: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Director: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Actor: Austin Butler (Elvis)
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Tár)
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Best Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Best Original Screenplay: The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Adapted Screenplay: Women Talking
Best Animated Feature Film: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Best International Feature Film: All Quiet on the Western Front
Best Documentary Feature: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Best Documentary Short Subject: Stranger at the Gate
Best Live Action Short Film: An Irish Goodbye
Best Animated Short Film: My Year of Dicks
Best Original Score: Babylon
Best Original Song: Naatu Naatu (RRR)
Best Sound: Top Gun: Maverick
Best Production Design: All Quiet on the Western Front
Best Cinematography: All Quiet on the Western Front
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Whale
Best Costume Design: Elvis
Best Film Editing: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Visual Effects: Avatar: The Way of Water

My choices, ranking all at that I've seen
Best Picture
Tár
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Top Gun: Maverick
The Banshees of Inisherin
Women Talking
Triangle of Sadness

[Honestly have no desire to see any of the other four, also Triangle of Sadness was not good enough for this]

Best Director
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Tár
The Banshees of Inisherin
Triangle of Sadness

Best Actor
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett (Tár)
Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

[It'd be rad if Andrea Riseborough won though, because fuck the Academy's bullshit rules]

Best Supporting Actor
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)

[Seconded Rob's sentiments, someday Brian Tyree Henry, someday]

Best Supporting Actress
Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Angela Basset (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

[Kerry Condon's definitely my favorite actor of this gang though, though I'd say I like Hong Chau even more but I also really don't have any interest in watching The Whale)

Best Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Tár
Triangle of Sadness

Best Adapted Screenplay
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Women Talking
Top Gun: Maverick

Best Original Score
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Sound
Top Gun: Maverick
The Batman

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Best Costume Design
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Best Film Editing
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Top Gun: Maverick
The Banshees of Inisherin
Tár

Best Visual Effects
Top Gun: Maverick
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

[I see that I've ranked Black Panther: Wakanda Forever at the bottom of every list aside from Best Supporting Actress, but let it be know I actually really liked it]
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
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Holden
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by Holden »

Some Oscar hot takes;
Aftersun should’ve gotten more, but honestly even one nomination for it feels lucky.
Nothing for Nope? I feel like it should’ve gotten some non-technical categories, but at the very least the effects and sound were worthy. You’re telling me Black Panther: Wakanda Forever had better special effects than Nope? Absolutely absurd.
I feel like someone in Women Talking should’ve gotten an acting nod, probably Rooney Mara or Ben Whishaw
Barry Koeghan and Jamie Lee Curtis, both obviously insanely talented actors, feel out of place and although they were lifted by their films being so highly rated.
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
Jackson
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by Jackson »

My personal ranking of the best picture nominees after making it through all of them:
1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. The Fablemans
3. Everything Everywhere All at Once
4. Tar
5. Top Gun Maverick
6. Triangle of Sadness
7. Avatar the Way of Water
8. All Quiet on the Western Front
9. Women Talking
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Holden
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by Holden »

Jackson wrote: Sun Mar 12, 2023 11:22 pm My personal ranking of the best picture nominees after making it through all of them:
1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. The Fablemans
3. Everything Everywhere All at Once
4. Tar
5. Top Gun Maverick
6. Triangle of Sadness
7. Avatar the Way of Water
8. All Quiet on the Western Front
9. Women Talking
No Elvis?
"The better a singer's voice, the harder it is to believe what they're saying."
nquoid
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by nquoid »

Post Oscars, but rankings of the 10:

1. The Fabelmans
2. TAR
3. The Banshees of Inisherin
4. Top Gun: Maverick
5. Avatar: The Way of Water
6. Women Talking
7. Everything Everywhere All At Once
8. Triangle of Sadness
9. Elvis
10. All Quiet on the Western Front

All Quiet is the only movie I would call bad from the nominations, with 7/10 being great movies for me. Really good crop of nominations, even if the complete shut out for Banshees, TAR, Fabelmans, Aftersun and Babylon make me slightly disappointed in how much the ceremony was dominated by 2 movies.

Also the complete shut out for Nope at the nominations is still the biggest snub of the year.
ritayong
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by ritayong »

1. Top Gun Maverick
2. Avatar: The Way of Water
3. Elvis
4.Everything Everywhere All At Once
5.The Banshees of Inisherin.

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Rob
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by Rob »

I got 8 out of 23 predictions wrong. I've done much better in the past. Sadly, it seems that I made the rookie mistake of letting my own low opinion of All Quiet on the Western Front cloud my judgment. I did predict it winning the obvious international feature award, but I really don't get the cinematography and score one (I don't find the production design exciting either, but I don't find fault with it). The cinematography of All Quiet does have some impressive long takes and an interesting angle here and there, but I felt that it looked too polished and shiny for a tour through the hell of WWI.

Worse is the music. It's drones where very incessant, trying to loudly insert danger in scenes were there wasn't any. So much for All Quiet being all-quiet. Then there are the melancholy, slightly orchestral parts that are similarly put in odd places that frequently don't deserve them. Last week I listened to all nominated scores on Spotify. This was the least satisfying listen of all in that way, but it is strange for a movie score to work even less well within the context of its film. Especially with a strong competition. Admittedly, I thought the Fabelmans was one of the more forgettable works of John Williams, but the remaining three were high quality and original. Carter Burwell's The Banshees of Inisherin uses subtle folkloric, almost fairytale touches that don't insist on themselves when watching the film, but repay a closer listen and do enhance the atmosphere. Son Lux mixes a more electronic/ ambient score with whatever the movie needs and does it with surprising subtlety, which helps the film not getting overcooked. The album release is actually almost two hours long, but doesn't waste an minute. Best of all, though is Justin Hurwitz masterful score of Babylon. The film is very divisive, but can anyone claim that the score is not a wonderful invention? I was reminded of the best music Nino Rota wrote for the films of Fellini, where a wild carnival atmosphere was joined by familiar music cues from everywhere and with well-timed pauses that quickly turned into abandon. The album is 90 minutes long and just for the way it keeps reinventing the main theme it is worth a visit.

And now that we are all ranking the 10 nominees of best film, here is my list, with rating out of 10.

1. Tár - 8
2. The Bansees of Inisherin - 8
3. Everything Everywhere All At Once - 8
4. Triangle of Sadness - 8
5. The Fabelmans - 8
6. Women Talking - 8
7. Top Gun: Maverick - 7
8. Avatar: The Way of Water - 7
9. Elvis - 6
10. All Quiet on the Western Front - 5

Taken as a whole, this is actually quite a solid group, even if I miss a deep personal favorite. There have been worse line-ups at the Oscars for sure.
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Re: Award Season 2023

Post by joelbrowm »

Oscars Awards 2023 Best Picture - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Film Editing -Everything Everywhere All at Once
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Original Song-“Naatu Naatu” (RRR)
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Sound-Top Gun: Maverick
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Adapted Screenplay-Women Talking
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Original Screenplay-Everything Everywhere All at Once – Daniel Kwan and Daniel Schienert
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Visual Effects-Avatar: The Way of Water
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Live Action Short Film- ‘An Irish Goodbye’ by Tom Berkeley and Ross White
Oscars Awards 2023 Best Documentary Short Film - ‘The Elephant Whisperers’ by Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga
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